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The EZ Dub Election Forecast

Every 2026 race, and what's driving it

The model's chance for every Senate, House and governor race, built from the polls, the money, each seat's history and the national mood. Open any race to see what's driving it.

Open the forecast map → Every race →

Open the map Every race What goes into the model

Start/Sit

Who to start, priced by the people betting on it

Start/Sit reads your Sleeper leagues and scores each lineup from prop and game lines, under that league's own scoring. Where books have priced only a player's touchdown, his yards come from a season projection, and the lineup says so.

Running backs, by rushing yards line

PlayerGameRush ydsRecRec yds

Kalshi player props. A game's lines lock at kickoff.

Load your leagues Who to root for

Prediction markets

Where the prediction markets disagree

Buy one side on each exchange and you collect the same amount whichever way it settles.

Today's picks Calculator

2026 Best Ball · Final

Jordyn Tyson went 38 picks earlier on Underdog

His closing ADP was 103.0 on Underdog and 141.4 on DraftKings, the widest gap of any player when drafts closed on Sept. 4.

Every gap Risers and fallers

Also on the site

Root For/Against. Who to cheer for and against across every one of your Sleeper leagues.

Arb Calculator. Equal-payoff stakes across two markets. Free, no login.

The blog. Longer write-ups, on Substack.

What People Are Saying

  • ★★★★★Wow this guy knows ball.Hue Jackson
  • ★★★★★Wow this truly gave me easy W's, thank you!Duane "Dog" Chapman
  • ★★★★★Now this is a guy who gets it.Barack Obama